I wrote up an analysis of starting pitcher roster construction for OPL. The analysis relies on a similar design to my earlier analysis of relief pitcher roster construction. I analyzed 33,000 randomly constructed rosters with between five and 15 starting pitchers using data from the first 30 days of the 2019 MLB season.
I concluded that:
It is very unlikely that you will consistently fill two starting pitcher spots in the OPL lineup on a daily basis. A typical number of starting pitchers will likely fill one or two of the slots on roughly two-thirds of days.
You will rarely have starting pitcher positive points days excluded from the daily, active OPL lineup—positive points days will be efficiently captured by the five daily lineup spots. Unlucky managers might see multiple starters with positive points days excluded from the active lineup with the potential to miss out on roughly 100 points.
Click here to see the extended analysis if interested:
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